Why Arming Kurdish Insurgents in Iran Would Be a Strategic Miscalculation for U.S. Intelligence

· 5 min read

As sustained American and Israeli military strikes continue to erode the structural foundations of the Iranian theocratic establishment, Washington's strategic planners appear to be revisiting a well-worn geopolitical playbook — one that places Iran's long-marginalized Kurdish population at the center of a potential covert destabilization campaign. Comprising somewhere between 8% and 17% of Iran's total population, the Kurdish minority has endured decades of systematic suppression under the Islamic Republic, making them an ostensibly attractive lever for external pressure. Yet analysts warn that mobilizing this community as an instrument of regime change carries profound strategic miscalculations and deeply consequential humanitarian risks. […]

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